Dean
10-29-2008, 10:08 AM
Sorry for the long post>>>>
I wanted to share this with you...but, first, the usual health warning...
I bet with money set aside purely for that reason, it's not the mortgage money nor the kids school fund, it's for gambling and if it's gone it will not affect putting food on the table nor getting the kids an education...you know the stuff.
What I wanted to say was that there is serious money to be made from lays on this forum...yesterday I was up nice and early and ready to get stuck into racing after a short holiday. As sometimes happens, I got drawn into another project that ended up taking over my day. So, I did not have the time left to go through the cards like I usually do.
So, I turned to the footylays forum...three places in fact:
The TLC selections
The Star Lays
The Lay Lady Lay lays
I took all the selections and just looked at those races - I was looking to see if there was a good reason NOT to lay them. I didn't find anything - OK, nothing in laying is certain, but these all looked like good lays to me as, of course, they looked the same to Racer and MrE when they posted them on the forum!
So, I treated these as I would my own lays. I lay using a ladder staking plan with my "rungs" set as follows:
7, 9, 11, 14, 17, 20, 23, 26, 29, 32, 35, 38, 41
So, this is effectively level stakes from 1.01 to 7.0 and then to liability after that. That means I can lay higher priced horses in a controlled manner. My price ceiling cap is 41, beyond that I regard the risk v reward equation a little on the low side.
So, this is what happened:
Satindra stake £12.00 at EP 40.0
Splash The Cash stake £31.00 at EP 16.5
Mandalay King stake £63.00 at EP 7.4
Jonny Lesters Hair stake £39.00 at EP 11.5
Daaweitza stake £51.00 at EP 10.0
Registrar stake £23.00 at EP 22.0
Cool Sands stake £76.00at EP 5.5
Dr Livingstone stake £76.00 at EP 5.0
Admiralcollingwood stake £20.00 at EP 24.0
Total profit after commission £373.81
Total liability of all lays £3,809.20
Return on investment 9.8%
Now – another health warning…my betting bank is quite substantial…5 figures…that is why I am perfectly within my comfort zone with regard to these liabilities, a little short of £500 for the higher priced lays…always lay within your comfort zone…if you place a lay bet and then fret whilst watching the race in case the horse wins…then you are staking too high!
Is this a work of fiction? Well, I emailed Racer with screenshots from my laptop last night to confirm the validity of the numbers - I'm sure he will verify if you doubt me.
So, why am I posting? To boast? Certainly not – they are not even my lays…all the credit goes to Racer and MrE. The reason I post is to demonstrate that:
There is serious profit to be snaffled from the average exchange punter by following advice given on this forum.
It is so much more satisfying backing a service like Footylays than deriding so many other services that exist on the internet!
My hat's off to Racer and all the other members of this forum that help make making money a lot easier!
Cheers,
Dean
I wanted to share this with you...but, first, the usual health warning...
I bet with money set aside purely for that reason, it's not the mortgage money nor the kids school fund, it's for gambling and if it's gone it will not affect putting food on the table nor getting the kids an education...you know the stuff.
What I wanted to say was that there is serious money to be made from lays on this forum...yesterday I was up nice and early and ready to get stuck into racing after a short holiday. As sometimes happens, I got drawn into another project that ended up taking over my day. So, I did not have the time left to go through the cards like I usually do.
So, I turned to the footylays forum...three places in fact:
The TLC selections
The Star Lays
The Lay Lady Lay lays
I took all the selections and just looked at those races - I was looking to see if there was a good reason NOT to lay them. I didn't find anything - OK, nothing in laying is certain, but these all looked like good lays to me as, of course, they looked the same to Racer and MrE when they posted them on the forum!
So, I treated these as I would my own lays. I lay using a ladder staking plan with my "rungs" set as follows:
7, 9, 11, 14, 17, 20, 23, 26, 29, 32, 35, 38, 41
So, this is effectively level stakes from 1.01 to 7.0 and then to liability after that. That means I can lay higher priced horses in a controlled manner. My price ceiling cap is 41, beyond that I regard the risk v reward equation a little on the low side.
So, this is what happened:
Satindra stake £12.00 at EP 40.0
Splash The Cash stake £31.00 at EP 16.5
Mandalay King stake £63.00 at EP 7.4
Jonny Lesters Hair stake £39.00 at EP 11.5
Daaweitza stake £51.00 at EP 10.0
Registrar stake £23.00 at EP 22.0
Cool Sands stake £76.00at EP 5.5
Dr Livingstone stake £76.00 at EP 5.0
Admiralcollingwood stake £20.00 at EP 24.0
Total profit after commission £373.81
Total liability of all lays £3,809.20
Return on investment 9.8%
Now – another health warning…my betting bank is quite substantial…5 figures…that is why I am perfectly within my comfort zone with regard to these liabilities, a little short of £500 for the higher priced lays…always lay within your comfort zone…if you place a lay bet and then fret whilst watching the race in case the horse wins…then you are staking too high!
Is this a work of fiction? Well, I emailed Racer with screenshots from my laptop last night to confirm the validity of the numbers - I'm sure he will verify if you doubt me.
So, why am I posting? To boast? Certainly not – they are not even my lays…all the credit goes to Racer and MrE. The reason I post is to demonstrate that:
There is serious profit to be snaffled from the average exchange punter by following advice given on this forum.
It is so much more satisfying backing a service like Footylays than deriding so many other services that exist on the internet!
My hat's off to Racer and all the other members of this forum that help make making money a lot easier!
Cheers,
Dean